Florida
W-L: (43-21) PR = 98.2671Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 7- 9 214 H UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 11- 0 214 H UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 6- 1 217 H North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 12- 4 218 A McNeese SL ( 8- 9, 93.3) 9- 8 220 A Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 9- 6 221 H Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 11- 0 222 H Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 12- 9 224 H Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 17-11 225 H Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 11- 4 227 A Miami MA (22-13, 96.4) 7- 2 228 A Miami MA (22-13, 96.4) 8- 4 301 A Miami MA (22-13, 96.4) 17- 1 303 A South Carolina Upstate BSO (14-15, 95.0) 4- 3 304 A Nicholls SL ( 1-13, 90.0) 7- 3 306 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 2- 3 307 H High Point BSO ( 8-12, 93.3) 2- 6 308 H High Point BSO ( 8-12, 93.3) 12-11 310 H Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 6- 3 313 H South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 1- 0 314 H South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 3- 0 315 H South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 13- 3 317 H Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 10- 1 320 A Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 0- 6 321 H LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 4- 3 322 A Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 7-14 324 H Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 5- 0 327 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 9- 4 328 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 7- 4 329 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 7- 6 331 H Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 3- 4 402 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 4- 6 403 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 2- 0 404 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 2- 5 407 H Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 4- 1 410 H NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 8-10 411 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 1- 5 412 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 13- 7 414 H Bethune-Cookman SWAC ( 8-10, 91.7) 7-13 416 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 6- 3 417 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 3- 5 418 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 5- 8 421 H Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 5- 7 424 H Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 9- 2 425 H Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 4- 8 426 H Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 1- 5 501 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 3- 4 502 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 10- 5 503 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 13- 2 505 H North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 11- 1 508 H Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 7- 6 509 H Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 2- 4 510 H Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 9- 6 514 H Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 11- 7 515 H Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 11- 5 516 A LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 15-11 520 H Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 8- 3 521 A Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 13- 3 523 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 7- 8 529 H Rider MAAC ( 9- 9, 94.3) 8- 7 530 H Miami of Florida ACC (18-13, 95.6) 22-10 530 H Miami of Florida ACC (18-13, 95.6) 22-10 531 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 11-16 601 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 2-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H UAB 7- 9 -2 4 --- -6.07
214 H UAB 11- 0 11 4 +++ 6.93
214 H UAB 6- 1 5 4 0.93
217 H North Florida 12- 4 8 5 + 2.52
218 A McNeese 9- 8 1 4 - -3.30
220 A Gonzaga 9- 6 3 2 1.11
221 H Kennesaw State 11- 0 11 4 +++ 6.73
222 H Kennesaw State 12- 9 3 4 -1.27
224 H Florida International 17-11 6 6 -0.16
225 H Florida International 11- 4 7 6 0.84
227 A Miami 7- 2 5 1 + 3.85
228 A Miami 8- 4 4 1 + 2.85
301 A Miami 17- 1 16 1 +++ 12.85
303 A South Carolina Upstate 4- 3 1 3 -1.62
304 A Nicholls 7- 3 4 8 - -3.59
306 A Long Beach State 2- 3 -1 5 -- -5.71
307 H High Point 2- 6 -4 6 --- -9.66
308 H High Point 12-11 1 6 -- -4.66
310 H Florida State 6- 3 3 2 1.04
314 H South Carolina 3- 0 3 4 -1.39
315 H South Carolina 13- 3 10 4 ++ 5.61
317 H Stetson 10- 1 9 6 + 2.82
320 A Alabama 0- 6 -6 1 --- -6.51
321 H LSU 4- 3 1 2 -0.94
322 A Alabama 7-14 -7 1 --- -7.51
324 H Florida State 5- 0 5 2 + 3.04
327 A Arkansas 9- 4 5 0 ++ 4.92
328 A Arkansas 7- 4 3 0 + 2.92
329 A Arkansas 7- 6 1 0 0.92
331 H Jacksonville 3- 4 -1 5 --- -6.30
402 H Ole Miss 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.27
403 H Ole Miss 2- 0 2 1 0.73
404 H Ole Miss 2- 5 -3 1 -- -4.27
407 H Wake Forest 4- 1 3 2 1.32
410 H NC State 8-10 -2 3 -- -4.56
411 A Georgia 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.65
412 A Georgia 13- 7 6 -1 +++ 7.35
414 H Bethune-Cookman 7-13 -6 7 --- -13.27
416 H Auburn 6- 3 3 0 + 2.93
417 H Auburn 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.07
418 H Auburn 5- 8 -3 0 - -3.07
421 H Jacksonville 5- 7 -2 5 --- -7.30
424 H Texas A&M 9- 2 7 0 +++ 7.05
425 H Texas A&M 4- 8 -4 0 - -3.95
426 H Texas A&M 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.95
501 A Oklahoma 3- 4 -1 1 -1.53
502 A Oklahoma 10- 5 5 1 ++ 4.47
503 A Oklahoma 13- 2 11 1 +++ 10.47
505 H North Florida 11- 1 10 5 ++ 4.52
508 H Kentucky 7- 6 1 3 - -2.03
509 H Kentucky 2- 4 -2 3 -- -5.03
510 H Kentucky 9- 6 3 3 -0.03
514 H Oklahoma 11- 7 4 2 + 2.12
515 H Houston 11- 5 6 4 1.65
516 A LSU 15-11 4 1 + 3.42
520 H Vanderbilt 8- 3 5 2 + 3.18
521 A Alabama 13- 3 10 1 +++ 9.49
523 A Georgia 7- 8 -1 -1 0.35
529 H Rider 8- 7 1 5 - -3.60
530 H Miami of Florida 22-10 12 3 +++ 8.70
530 H Miami of Florida 22-10 12 3 +++ 8.70
531 A Troy 11-16 -5 1 --- -6.37
601 H Troy 2-10 -8 3 --- -10.72
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H UAB 7- 9 -2 4 --- -6.07 307 H High Point 2- 6 -4 6 --- -9.66 320 A Alabama 0- 6 -6 1 --- -6.51 322 A Alabama 7-14 -7 1 --- -7.51 331 H Jacksonville 3- 4 -1 5 --- -6.30 414 H Bethune-Cookman 7-13 -6 7 --- -13.27 421 H Jacksonville 5- 7 -2 5 --- -7.30 531 A Troy 11-16 -5 1 --- -6.37 601 H Troy 2-10 -8 3 --- -10.72 306 A Long Beach State 2- 3 -1 5 -- -5.71 308 H High Point 12-11 1 6 -- -4.66 404 H Ole Miss 2- 5 -3 1 -- -4.27 410 H NC State 8-10 -2 3 -- -4.56 509 H Kentucky 2- 4 -2 3 -- -5.03 218 A McNeese 9- 8 1 4 - -3.30 304 A Nicholls 7- 3 4 8 - -3.59 402 H Ole Miss 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.27 411 A Georgia 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.65 417 H Auburn 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.07 418 H Auburn 5- 8 -3 0 - -3.07 425 H Texas A&M 4- 8 -4 0 - -3.95 426 H Texas A&M 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.95 508 H Kentucky 7- 6 1 3 - -2.03 529 H Rider 8- 7 1 5 - -3.60 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H UAB 11- 0 11 4 +++ 6.93 221 H Kennesaw State 11- 0 11 4 +++ 6.73 301 A Miami 17- 1 16 1 +++ 12.85 412 A Georgia 13- 7 6 -1 +++ 7.35 424 H Texas A&M 9- 2 7 0 +++ 7.05 503 A Oklahoma 13- 2 11 1 +++ 10.47 521 A Alabama 13- 3 10 1 +++ 9.49 530 H Miami of Florida 22-10 12 3 +++ 8.70 530 H Miami of Florida 22-10 12 3 +++ 8.70 315 H South Carolina 13- 3 10 4 ++ 5.61 327 A Arkansas 9- 4 5 0 ++ 4.92 502 A Oklahoma 10- 5 5 1 ++ 4.47 505 H North Florida 11- 1 10 5 ++ 4.52 217 H North Florida 12- 4 8 5 + 2.52 227 A Miami 7- 2 5 1 + 3.85 228 A Miami 8- 4 4 1 + 2.85 317 H Stetson 10- 1 9 6 + 2.82 324 H Florida State 5- 0 5 2 + 3.04 328 A Arkansas 7- 4 3 0 + 2.92 416 H Auburn 6- 3 3 0 + 2.93 514 H Oklahoma 11- 7 4 2 + 2.12 516 A LSU 15-11 4 1 + 3.42 520 H Vanderbilt 8- 3 5 2 + 3.18 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H UAB (31-27, 94.9) 7- 9 -5.02 13.40 -0.68 0.45 -1.29
3 H UAB (31-27, 94.9) 11- 0 -5.02 13.40 -0.68 0.45 11.50
3 H UAB (31-27, 94.9) 6- 1 -5.02 13.40 -0.68 0.45 11.50
3 H North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 12- 4 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.45 10.22
3 A McNeese ( 8- 9, 93.3) 9- 8 -6.61 11.82 0.68 0.45 11.29
3 A Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 9- 6 -4.20 14.23 0.68 0.45 13.47
3 H Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 11- 0 -5.22 13.20 -0.68 0.45 11.32
3 H Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 12- 9 -5.22 13.20 -0.68 0.45 11.32
3 H Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 17-11 -7.12 11.31 -0.68 0.45 9.61
3 H Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 11- 4 -7.12 11.31 -0.68 0.45 9.61
3 A Miami (22-13, 96.4) 7- 2 -3.46 14.97 0.68 0.45 14.14
3 A Miami (22-13, 96.4) 8- 4 -3.46 14.97 0.68 0.45 14.14
3 A Miami (22-13, 96.4) 17- 1 -3.46 14.97 0.68 0.45 14.14
3 A South Carolina (14-15, 95.0) 4- 3 -4.93 13.50 0.68 0.45 12.81
3 A Nicholls ( 1-13, 90.0) 7- 3 -9.90 8.53 0.68 0.45 8.32
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 2- 3 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.45 -1.43
3 H High Point ( 8-12, 93.3) 2- 6 -6.62 11.80 -0.68 0.45 -1.65
3 H High Point ( 8-12, 93.3) 12-11 -6.62 11.80 -0.68 0.45 10.06
3 H Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 6- 3 -2.92 15.51 -0.68 0.45 13.41
3 H South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 1- 0 -5.35 13.08 -0.68 0.45 11.21
3 H South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 3- 0 -5.35 13.08 -0.68 0.45 11.21
3 H South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 13- 3 -5.35 13.08 -0.68 0.45 11.21
3 H Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 10- 1 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.45 9.59
3 A Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 0- 6 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.45 -0.48
3 H LSU (31-26, 97.0) 4- 3 -2.89 15.53 -0.68 0.45 13.43
3 A Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 7-14 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.45 -0.48
3 H Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 5- 0 -2.92 15.51 -0.68 0.45 13.41
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 9- 4 -2.38 16.04 0.68 0.45 15.11
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 7- 4 -2.38 16.04 0.68 0.45 15.11
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 7- 6 -2.38 16.04 0.68 0.45 15.11
3 H Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 3- 4 -6.26 12.17 -0.68 0.45 -1.57
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 4- 6 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 0.45 -0.66
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 2- 0 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 0.45 14.03
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 2- 5 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 0.45 -0.66
3 H Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 4- 1 -2.63 15.79 -0.68 0.45 13.66
3 H NC State (34-21, 96.4) 8-10 -3.52 14.91 -0.68 0.45 -0.95
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 1- 5 -0.95 17.47 0.68 0.45 -0.06
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 13- 7 -0.95 17.47 0.68 0.45 16.40
3 H Bethune-Cookma ( 8-10, 91.7) 7-13 -8.23 10.20 -0.68 0.45 -2.01
3 H Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 6- 3 -1.03 17.40 -0.68 0.45 15.12
3 H Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 3- 5 -1.03 17.40 -0.68 0.45 -0.38
3 H Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 5- 8 -1.03 17.40 -0.68 0.45 -0.38
3 H Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 5- 7 -6.26 12.17 -0.68 0.45 -1.57
3 H Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 9- 2 -0.91 17.52 -0.68 0.45 15.22
3 H Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 4- 8 -0.91 17.52 -0.68 0.45 -0.36
3 H Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 1- 5 -0.91 17.52 -0.68 0.45 -0.36
3 A Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 3- 4 -2.84 15.59 0.68 0.45 -0.49
3 A Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 10- 5 -2.84 15.59 0.68 0.45 14.70
3 A Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 13- 2 -2.84 15.59 0.68 0.45 14.70
3 H North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 11- 1 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.45 10.22
3 H Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 7- 6 -3.98 14.44 -0.68 0.45 12.44
3 H Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 2- 4 -3.98 14.44 -0.68 0.45 -1.05
3 H Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 9- 6 -3.98 14.44 -0.68 0.45 12.44
3 H Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 11- 7 -2.84 15.59 -0.68 0.45 13.48
3 H Houston (23-28, 94.6) 11- 5 -5.30 13.12 -0.68 0.45 11.25
3 A LSU (31-26, 97.0) 15-11 -2.89 15.53 0.68 0.45 14.65
3 H Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 8- 3 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.45 13.53
3 A Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 13- 3 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.45 14.72
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 7- 8 -0.95 17.47 0.68 0.45 -0.06
3 H Rider ( 9- 9, 94.3) 8- 7 -5.56 12.87 -0.68 0.45 11.02
3 H Miami of Flori (18-13, 95.6) 22-10 -4.25 14.17 -0.68 0.45 12.20
3 H Miami of Flori (18-13, 95.6) 22-10 -4.25 14.17 -0.68 0.45 12.20
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 11-16 -3.68 14.75 0.68 0.45 -0.68
3 H Troy (40-31, 96.2) 2-10 -3.68 14.75 -0.68 0.45 -0.98
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526.65
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winning pts = 544.2088 losing points = -17.5595
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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